Tips and Tricks and Shortcuts for Set Theory

Tips and Tricks For Set Theory

Question 1

In a presidential election, there are four candidates. Call them A,B,C and D. Based on our polling analysis, we estimate that A has 20% chance of winning the election. While B has 40% chance of winning. What is the probability that a or A or B win the election?

Options
(a) 0.8
(b) 0.6
(c) 0.9
(d) 0.56
(e) None of these

Explanations

Notice that the events that {A wins}, {B wins}, {C wins} and {D wins} are disjoint since more than one of them cannot occur at the same time. If A wins then B cannot win. From the third axiom of probability, the probability of the union of two disjoint events is the summation of individual probabilities. Therefore,

P(A wins or B wins) = P( {A wins} ∪ { B wins} )

=  P ( {A wins} + P{B wins} )

= 0.2 + 0.4
= 0.6
Correct options (B)

Set Theory Tips and Tricks and Shortcuts

Question 2

If you roll a fair die. What is the probability of E = {1,5}?

Options
(a) \frac{1}{3} \

(b) \frac{2}{8} \

(c) \frac{2}{6} \

P({1}) = P({2}) =…….= P({6})

1 = P{S}
= P ( {1}∪{2}∪ ….. ∪{6} )

= P({1}) + P({2}) + ……. +P({6})
= 6P({1})

Thus,

P({1}) = P({2}) = …. = P({6}) = \frac{1}{6} \

P(E) = P({1,5}) = P({1}) + P({5}) = \frac{2}{6} \ = \frac{1}{3} \